Hi. As a UCLA student, in 1956, I first heard David McReynolds - speaking about the Algerian struggle for independence. He was brilliant, logical and very human. Somehow, we became friends, though we’ve rarely
worked or did much together. He remains so, ever more strongly. I’ve sent you several of his analyses, all having
the above characteristics, as does his View, below.. I join in honoring him for his incredible work and spirit.
Hola, David. –Ed
(The Arab Spring essay is comprehensive and masterful. Bob Wing is another person I’ve admired, from afar.)
David McReynolds : The View From Over the Hill by David McReynolds / The Rag Blog. In this remarkable and inspiring work, the openly gay McReynolds, a legendary figure in the pacifist and Democratic Socialist movements in this country, reflects on his rich and storied life in politics. David, who was recently honored in a double biography by noted historian Martin Duberman, offers up some thoughtful -- and decidedly hopeful -- political philosophy. McReynolds incorporates a strong spiritual element into his outlook on the continuing struggle for radical social change. For his ‘View’,
Click on http://theragblog.blogspot.com/2011/05/david-mcreynolds-view-from-over-hill.html
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From: Portside Moderator [<moderator@PORTSIDE.ORG>
Sent: Thursday, May 12, 2011 7:09 PM
http://www.organizingupgrade.com/2011/05/arab-spring-changing-global-struggle/
The Arab Spring and the Changing Dynamics of Global Struggle
Bob Wing is a longtime activist and the founding editor of ColorLines magazine and War Times/Tiempo de Guerras newspaper. He now lives in
The Arab Spring, the Japanese nuclear accident, the progressive/labor motion in response to the rightwing attacks in
These events are not immediately connected and each has its own particular dynamics. But together they advance and aggravate the two big world trends I outlined in my “Notes on Election 2010”: the global rise of the developing world and the relative decline of U.S. and Western power as well as the intense struggle within the U.S. as to how to navigate that global sea change together with the impending people of color majority. Indeed the IMF recently announced their estimate that according to one key indicator
These notes address some of the new dynamics underscored and advanced by the Arab Spring, including its implications for
Changing Dynamics of Struggle in Developing World
The Arab Spring was completely unpredictable in its timing, form, rapidity, politics and Arab-wide form, and it remains to be seen what its outcomes will be.
At another level, however, it was completely predictable. Much of the developing world, including the Arab world, has gone through dramatic economic development in the last thirty years. The corresponding socio-economic transformation has given rise to new social forces that the old repressive regimes, most of more than thirty years duration, proved unable to incorporate or suppress.
At different paces and in different forms, mass struggles by sparked by new social forces against reactionary regimes–whether Kings, military or military backed strongmen or former revolutionaries turned dictators —have swept Asia (1990s—e.g. Philippines, Indonesia, S. Korea), Latin America (2000s—mainly through leftwing electoral victories), parts of Africa (esp. southern and sub-Saharan Africa), and now the Arab world. One might even include the demise of the former socialist camp and the recent “color revolutions” in former Soviet republics in this context.
These uprisings are notably diverse according to national and regional particularities. But they are also remarkably different from earlier mass struggles in the developing world: they have focused on turning out local dictators as opposed to focusing primarily on anti-colonial or anti-U.S. aims. The Arab Spring has thus far not even targeted
These movements have been mass democratic struggles as opposed to mass anti-imperialist struggles. Of course, democracy and anti-imperialism are very often intertwined in the developing world. But the leading element seems to have switched to internal democratic struggles compared to the mass national liberation movements of the 1910s through the 1980s.
Indeed a number of the revolutionary nationalist leaders of the 1960s and 1970s who ended up degenerating into undemocratic regimes are now the targets of democratic uprisings–Mugabe, Gaddafi and Assad. And it is also they who are among the most violent defenders of their regimes.
The democratic uprisings in the developing world of the last twenty years have also been notable for their largely peaceful strategies compared to the mostly armed national liberation movements of the 1920s to the 1980s. Indeed, that wave of revolutionary nationalism, like Marxist-Leninist socialism (and European social democracy), was eclipsed in that latter decade. Most movements since then have different dynamics and different leadership.
Indeed, the Middle East, led by Nasser in
In this context, the emergence of the Arab Spring is a welcome mass democratic counterpoint to Islamic terrorism. There are, of course, radical differences between mass-based Islamic political groups such as Hezbollah and Hamas compared to narrowly terrorist groups like al-Qaeda whose targets are often civilians. Nonetheless the Arab Spring’s mainly peaceful, mass driven and secular democratic flavor is a powerful development that seems to be eclipsing the al-Qaeda-like approach and having much more positive impact. Perhaps this will be strengthened in the wake of the
Finally, as a result of the much higher level of economic development of the developing world compared to the past, these movements are largely urban-based rather than rural based, and extremely diverse and complicated in their social composition and political orientations. They cannot be fit into simplistic or outdated categories or theories. Instead they must be studied and interacted with based on a concrete analysis of each movement in its own terms.
The Developing World and the Intensification of the Fight for Energy
While primarily local democratic uprisings, the Arab Spring events, like the fights in Asia and
The BRIC (
Fast on the heels of the BRIC are the Next 11 (the “N11”: Bangladesh, Egypt, Indonesia, Iran, Mexico, Nigeria, Pakistan, Philippines, Korea, Turkey and Vietnam).
The rapid economic development of the Global South is creating massive new demand for energy, just as peak oil is reached. And, whatever the exact outcomes of the Arab Spring, oil political expert Michael Klare believes that with it the “old oil order is dying, and with its demise we will see the end of cheap and readily accessible petroleum—forever.”
Meanwhile the
Changing Politics of the
The Arab Spring is a turning point of global importance because oil has been central to world economic development and politics since WWII. Over that time, the
Although the struggles are still intense and the outcomes not at all clear, the genie is out of the bottle for the old regimes. Some new level of democracy is likely in many of the countries, and that by itself is enough to disrupt the old straight up imperialist/authoritarian alliance. This has been duly noted by the Obama administration and outraged
Unlike previous
In Libya Obama eschewed traditional
Meanwhile
Indeed
The recent unity agreement between Hamas and Fatah is a major development that accelerates and deepens the Arab Spring and the various conflicts it involves. It was brokered by the caretaker Egyptian government ushered in by the overthrow of Mubarak, demonstrating the regional, indeed global, significance of the political shift underway in
The new unity has been denounced by
The Pivot of Politics
The Arab Spring is the latest demonstration of the drive of the people of the developing world to democratize their governments and empower themselves. It also highlights the complicated, multi-layered process of struggle in the developing world.
The tremendous variance in politics of the developing world gives the
The fight over the shape and pace of this inexorable process is the main battleground of history in our time, shaping both world and
The varying responses of different political forces in the
International competition is one of the root causes of the rightward motion of the economic elite over the past forty years and its attacks on the living standards of working and poor people, especially people of color, in this country. Fear of the loss of
The polarization between those who are determined to reassert
To be sure there are important divisions on the center/right, between reactionary Tea Partyists and old line Republican conservatives, and on the center/left between realistic elitists and genuine progressives. I would argue that the building of a powerful progressive trend inside and outside the Democratic Party is key to exposing, splitting, and defeating the right.
However, as we undertake to build that powerful force, we must try to avoid letting the right split us from moderate allies and thereby prevail. This will be complex given the right’s momentum and the elite realists (and affluent centrists) tendency to collaborate with the right in attacking progressive-leaning social sectors even as they do battle with the right electorally and otherwise.
Only a progressive bloc that is far stronger, more combative, flexible and strategic than what we have now will have a chance to navigate this terrain. Still, the old adage, “unite the left, win over the middle, and isolate the right” was never more relevant.
The stakes are enormous for the people of the world as we enter into the 2012 political season.
Thanks to Max Elbaum for his usual insightful suggestions.
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